About Me

 

 Jared G Randall

Houlihan Lawrence

100 West Putnam Avenue

Greenwich, CT 06830

Cell:    203-273-1034

Office: 203-869-0700 x40250

email: jrandall@HoulihanLawrence.com

 

 

Saturday
May312014

Greenwich, CT Residential Real Estate Blog and Analysis: May 30th


Greenwich, CT Residential Real Estate Blog and Analysis:  
May 30th
  
A weekly analysis brought to you by Greenwich Real Estate Guy.
  

Next week will have the update numbers including May's final statistics.  Pleas join me at the above pictured 30 Montgomery Lane this Sunday as I am hosting an open house from 1-4 p.m.  Location, Location, Location, you will be close to everything Greenwich has to offer.

Sensational Stone & Shingle Home on Park-Like Setting in Greenwich

Beautiful five bedroom home, nestled on 1.44 park-like acres on a quiet cul-de-sac and nearby to walking paths at the 91acre Montgomery Pinetum Park, ideally situated close to town, schools and highways.   This inviting, multi-level residence boasts hardwood floors, a comfortable floor plan and wonderful flow.

The spectacular gourmet kitchen, with a large center island, is the hub of this warm family home, featuring state-of-the-art appliances, granite countertops and rich cherry cabinetry, which seamlessly opens into a sundrenched eat-in nook and casual relaxation area, with sliding doors to the extensive outdoor deck.  Pass through into a formal dining room, with corner cabinets and additional deck access.  A commanding stone fireplace anchors the bright living room, affording sweeping front yard views from an impressive window seat.

Ascend to a handsome home office, with built-in cabinetry; one en-suite bedroom, two additional spacious bedrooms and one full bath. 

A luxurious master suite comprises the entire top floor boasting a serene bedroom, with a tray ceiling, gleaming windows and a private outdoor deck;  an elaborate dressing room featuring a built-in vanity in one of the two well-appointed walk-in closets and an adjacent sitting room, with attic access.  An opulent marble master bath with his and her walk-in showers, water closets and vanities, centers around the spa tub.

Descend to a splendid au-pair's suite with a full bath, added in 2012, with a separate entrance, nearby to a full service laundry room and access to the two car garage.

The lower level is perfect for relaxation and recreation with a generous family room, complete with a kitchenette.  Ample storage is available in the extensive unfinished portion of this level.

The well manicured lawn is punctuated by lush perennial rock gardens bordering the property, a gazebo and a stone wall.

As you will learn when you look at months on average and the graphs, we have seen trends in the market that can help us understand what is currently happening.  Quick synopsis is that the under $1.5M market has become increasingly more competitive, the $1.5M-$4M is becoming less competitive, the $4M-$7.5M is at a stand still and definitely a buyer's market, while the luxury over $7.5M is doing much better than last year.

We currently have 666 total properties for sale in Greenwich.  That is up another thirty eight from three weeks ago  However, still down from the 687 we had this time last year based on my May 17th article last year.  The most surprising data is the amount of sold properties this year. As you will see in the graphs, January was incredible, which set the expectation of a great year.  However, since then we have been either at or below last year's number.  April was actually the worst so far with only 55 properties sold, compared to 65 last year down 13%.  May is trending below as well with only 30 properties closed halfway through the month when we had 90 in May of last year.  The saving grace is that we have 190 properties either under a contingent contract or pending.  120 of them are pending which means all contingencies have been met.

 

The newsletter has had a lot of new subscribers over the last month so I wanted to take a second to explain the sections.  The first section is the featured property, with a short weekly roundup of the market.  The next couple of sections are charts and analysis of the market concluding with a months on average chart so one can see how their price range is doing compared to other price ranges as well as compared to earlier months and years.  Following the analysis is the Open house list.  I use a myriad of sources including the Greenwich Times, Greenwich Multiple Listing Service, Fairfield County Multiple Listing Service, as well as Real Estate websites such as Trulia and Zillow.  

 

I have invested in my own MLS Search for my readers.  This will give access to a lot of the listing information I have.  Also, if I have already set you up with your personal portal, you will now be able to search your own searches outside of what I set up for you.  Feel free to test out and search properties.  I feel the best attribute is that you can save your own search and choose to get alerts as new properties come on to the market, properties are sold, or change in price.  All specific to your customized search.  Hence, you will speed up your learning curve, becoming an expert in the specific market you care about.

 

Please let me know if you would like me to provide customized information or statistics for you based on your criteria.

 

**The information on the featured property and all statistical information is from the Greenwich MLS.

 

**All opinions garnered from the statistics are my own

 

 

   
Properties Sold

 

As mentioned above we finished April with only 55 properties sold down 13% from last year.  May looks even scarier with only 30 sold halfway through the month. 

 

New Listings

We have 90 new listings already half way through May.  A little concerning that new listings are up and sales are down.  Luckily, we do have the 190 properties under contract or pending.

 

 

  
Year to Date Sold

 

The percentages are starting to level off as we get through the year.  The biggest jump over the last few weeks was the $1.5M-$2M range where it went from 15%-17%.
 
Year to Date Available
  

 

In an effort to define the different markets as a good time to buy or sale I believe one needs to look at the months on average it would take to sell through the inventory we have.  This one below is the amount of months on average to sell through our current inventory based on 2014 ytd sold numbers by price range.

  

 

Price Range 1/31/14 2/28/14 3/28/14 4/25/14 5/16/14
0-$500K 10.2 6.0 7.0 6.1 5.5
$500K-$1M 9.7 8.6 9.0 8.7 8.6
$1M-$1.5M 5.5 9.5 8.9 10.3 7.8
$1.5M-$2M 8 14.5 13.6 18.4 17.8
$2M-$3M 4.7 9.2 11.6 14.3 14.2
$3M-$4M 11 13.1 11.8 14.2 14.5
$4M-$5M 11.9 8.9 13.1 14.4 22.1
$5M-$7.5M 20.7 32.0 39.5 59 56.6
$7.5M-$10M n/a n/a 71.5 51 31.5
$10M+ 22.4 27.2 42.0 22.7 33.8
 

 

I believe these chart above and below best show the Greenwich market.  We had an influx of inventory lately.  However, if you look at the specific price ranges 0-$500K dropped from 7 months to 5.5.  When looking closely you notice over the last six weeks the under $1.5M became more competitive, where the $1.5M-$4M became less competitive adding approximately three months per price range.  The $4M-$7.5M range is ice cold, and the luxury market of over $7.5M has actually done pretty well.
The chart below is the amount of months on average to sell throughcurrent inventory based on all of 2013 sold numbers by price range. 

 

 

 

 

Price Range 8/30/13 9/30/13 10/25/13 11/30/13 12/30/13 1/31/14 2/28/14 3/28/14 4/25/14 5/16/14
0-$500K 4.26 4.4 5.2 4.2 4 4.2 4 3.8 3.7 4
$500K-$1M 4.65 4.9 4.6 3.4 3.2 3 3.8 4.4 5.2 5.4
$1M-$1.5M 4.96 5.2 4.6 3.6 3 3.5 4 4.1 5.6 5.4
$1.5M-$2M 5.61 5.6 5.1 5 4.7 5 6.4 6.1 7.2 7.1
$2M-$3M 7.84 9.1 8.3 6.3 5.4 5.9 6.9 8 9.1 10.3
$3M-$4M 20.22 23.4 21.3 17.1 15.8 16.3 15.3 16.5 19.8 18.5
$4M-$5M 22 23.9 25.3 18.8 14.1 15 13.7 13.7 18 21
$5M-$7.5M 40.8 31.6 26.4 25 21.5 22.2 24 25.1 28.4 32
$7.5M-$10M 44.8 52.1 58.8 53.1 46.3 46.3 46.3 42.9 46.3 48
$10M+ 272 103.2 92.1 72.2 61.5 66 63 66 54 67.5

 

 

 

I find these two charts to be very intriguing.  One can see the huge discrepancy based on the 2013 numbers between the luxury market and under $3M.  However, at the top if we use the inventory based on the ytd sold numbers it is not as definitive. The luxury market is doing much better than last year and each market seems to be doing relatively well.

 

 

 

 

 

 


Open Houses June 1st
  
 
 Below are the 64 Open Houses for Sunday.  I will be hosting an open house from 1-4 p.m. at 30 Montgomery Lane. Stop by and view this great location close to everything Greenwich has to offer..

 

 

Street Name Area List Price Time Listing Office
453 Putnam #4H Cos Cob $575K 1-4 p.m. BHHS
21 Byram Road Greenwich $595K 2-4 p.m. Raveis
71 Byram Road Greenwich $649K 1-3 p.m. Sotheby's
1 Scott Road Greenwich $695K 11-1 p.m. Coldwell Banker
106 Putnam Park Greenwich $719K 1-3 p.m. Real Living
70 Riverdale #1004 Greenwich $749K 1-3 p.m. Raveis
28 Lexington Ave #B Greenwich $765K 1-3 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
6 Buena Vista Drive Greenwich $839K 1-5 p.m. Weichert
70 Riverdale #701 Greenwich $845K 2-4 p.m. Sotheby's
119 Halstead Avenue Greenwich $849K 1-4 p.m. BHHS
40 Ettl Lane Greenwich $875K 1-3 p.m. Weichert
178 Weaver Street Greenwich $1.049M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker
160 Valley Road Cos Cob $1.095M 2-4 p.m. Raveis
42 Ridge Street Cos Cob $1.099M 2-4 p.m. Sotheby's
83 Summit Road Riverside $1.195M 1-3 p.m. Sotheby's
29 Midbrook Lane Old Greenwich $1.243M 1-3 p.m. Keller Williams
9 Lejeune Court Old Greenwich $1.295M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker
49 Indian Field Road Greenwich $1.595M 1-3 p.m. Sotheby's
75 Taconic Road Greenwich $1.599M 1-3 p.m. Sotheby's
65 Fairfield Road Greenwich $1.695M 2-4 p.m. Raveis
134 Butternut Hollow Greenwich $1.75M 1-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
741 Riversville Road Greenwich $1.85M 2-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
16 Fairview Terrace Greenwich $1.9M 1-4 p.m. BHHS
244 Stanwich Road Greenwich $1.99M 1-3 p.m. Sotheby's
39 Bowman Drive Greenwich $1.995M 1-4 p.m. Raveis
1 Sylvan Lane Old Greenwich $1.995M 12-2 p.m. Coldwell Banker
11 Circle Drive Greenwich $2.15M 1-4 p.m. BHHS
55 Shore Road Old Greenwich $2.195M 1-3 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
6 Huckleberry Lane Greenwich $2.195M 1-3 p.m. Shore and Country
30 MONTGOMERY LANE Greenwich $2.245M 1-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
25 Willow Run Road Greenwich $2.29M 1-4 p.m. Sotheby's
30 South End Old Greenwich $2.395M 2-4 p.m. Shore and Country
18 Hawkwood Land Greenwich $2.45M 2-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
25 Willowmere Avenue Riverside $2.495M 2-4 p.m. Coldwell Banker
10 Birchwood Drive Greenwich $2.495M 2-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
178 Weaver Street Greenwich $2.499M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker
434 Riversville Road Greenwich $2.59M 1-4 p.m. BHHS
10 Gaston Farm Road Greenwich $2.595M 2-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
30 Sherwood Avenue Greenwich $2.6M 1-4 p.m. BHHS
28 Sawmill Lane Greenwich $2.695M 1-3 p.m. Sotheby's
33 Pleasant Street Riverside $2.749M 1-3 p.m. Keller Williams
1333 King Street Greenwich $2.895M 1-3 p.m. Sotheby's
522 North Street Greenwich $2.98M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker
57 Mimosa Drive Cos Cob $2.995M 1-3 p.m. Sotheby's
27 Chieftans Road Greenwich $2.995M 2-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
34 A Bruce Park Avenue Greenwich $3.195M 1-3 p.m. Halstead
50 Indian Head Road Riverside $3.35M 2-4 p.m. Coldwell Banker
78 Baldwin Farms South Greenwich $3.395M 2-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
34 B Bruce Park Greenwich $3.395M 1-3 p.m. Halstead
20 Heronvue Road Greenwich $3.5M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker
349 Sound Beach Avenue Old Greenwich $3.575M 1-3 p.m. Sotheby's
180 North Street Greenwich $3.599M 11-1 p.m. Coldwell Banker
48 Bramble Lane Riverside $3.995M 1-3 p.m. Coldwell Banker
41 West Way Old Greenwich $4M 12-2 p.m. Sotheby's
70 Sherwood Avenue Greenwich $4.475M 1-4 p.m. Charles Paternina
36 DAY ROAD Greenwich $4.495M 2-4 p.m. Coldwell Banker
45 Baldwin Farms South Greenwich $4.895M 1-3 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
27 Stillman Lane Greenwich $5.199M 1-3 p.m. Sotheby's
22 Stillman Lane Greenwich $5.245M 1-3 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence
421 Field Point Road Greenwich $6M 1-4 p.m. BHHS
11 N. Crossway Old Greenwich $6.25M 1-3 p.m. Shore and Country
14 Hawkwood Lane Greenwich $6.295M 2-4 p.m. Shore and Country
158 Clapboard Ridge Greenwich 6449000 2-4 p.m. Coldwell Banker
7 Oakwood Lane Greenwich 6875000 2-4 p.m. Houlihan Lawrence

 

 

 

Best,                                                                     
                                                                                  
Jared Randall                                                 Join my Mailing List
Houlihan Lawrence Greenwich                     Search Properties
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Mortgage Information

 

 

There are two individuals I feel most confident about when it comes to home mortgages.  One in Manhattan and one in Greenwich.  They are Jeff Ihrig of First Republic in Manhattan, and in Greenwich I prefer Treena David-Chirico of Wells Fargo NMLSR ID 404288.

 

 

Jeff can be reached at 646-372-5181.  Treena's phone number is 203-618-3923.  You can go to her website to input your specific information to receive rates.  Her website is www.wfhm.com/treena-david-chirico.

 

 

 

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